How forest management and deforestation are impacting climate

Two new studies reveal how altering the composition of trees in forests is influencing not only the carbon cycle, but air surface temperatures to a significant degree as well. The results highlight how human-made changes to forests hold more severe consequences than previously believed.

Worldwide, reforested areas are increasingly prominent; for example, in Europe, 85% of forests were managed by humans as of 2010. Strong favoritism of foresters to plant more commercially valuable trees – such as Scot pines, Norway spruce and beech – has resulted in reforestation of 633,000 square kilometers of conifers at the expense of broadleaved forests, which decreased by 436,000 square kilometers since 1850.

To gain more insights into the impact of this favoritism, Kim Naudts and colleagues reconstructed 250 years of forest management history using a land-cover model, but also included forest management factors such as changes in tree species.

Their analysis reveals that the conversion of broadleaved forests to coniferous forests caused significant changes in evapotranspiration and albedo, the amount of solar energy reflected from the Earth back into space. These changes, in combination with the release of carbon that is associated with managed forests, are contributing to warming rather than mitigating it. This is happening despite an overall increase in tree coverage. Thus, climate frameworks should account for land management practices in addition to land cover when trying to mitigate warming, the authors say.

A second study describes how changes in global forest cover are affecting the fluxes of energy and water between the land and the atmosphere, and how this process can vary across different forest regions. In the past, the degree to which biophysical effects of deforestation can influence climate have been debated in the scientific community, but these results shed new light on the matter, suggesting that aridness and forest type are important variables.

Such data could better inform climate treaties, the authors, Ramdane Alkama and Alessandro Cescatti, note. Their analysis, based on satellite data of surface temperature and variations in forest cover, reveals that forest clearing is causing an increase in average and maximum surface temperatures, except at the northernmost latitudes.

They note that evapotranspiration plays a key role in how forest clearing impacts temperatures, since arid areas show the strongest warming pattern, followed by the temperate, the tropical, and the boreal zones.

Together, these two studies demonstrate previously unappreciated complexities of the role that forests play in affecting the carbon cycle and air surface temperatures.

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Coniferous (dark green) and broadleaved (light green) trees in summer in Alsace (France) exhibit differences in surface properties. This material relates to a paper that appeared in the Feb. 5, 2016, issue of Science, published by AAAS. The paper, by K. Naudts at Institut Pierre Simon Laplace in Gif-sur-Yvette, France, and colleagues was titled, “Europe’s forest management did not mitigate climate warming.” Credit: Ernst-Detlef Schulze

source: American Association for the Advancement of Science

Source: How forest management and deforestation are impacting climate | Science Codex

Worldwide electricity production vulnerable to climate and water resource change

Climate change impacts and associated changes in water resources could lead to reductions in electricity production capacity for more than 60% of the power plants worldwide from 2040-2069, according to a new study published today in the journal Nature Climate Change. Yet adaptation measures focused on making power plants more efficient and flexible could mitigate much of the decline.

“Hydropower plants and thermoelectric power plants–which are nuclear, fossil-, and biomass-fueled plants converting heat to electricity–both rely on freshwater from rivers and streams,” explains Michelle Van Vliet, a researcher at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Austria and Wageningen University in the Netherlands, who led the study. “These power-generating technologies strongly depend on water availability, and water temperature for cooling plays in addition a critical role for thermoelectric power generation.”

Together, hydropower and thermoelectric power currently contribute to 98% of electricity production worldwide.

Model projections show that climate change will impact water resources availability and will increase water temperatures in many regions of the world. A previous study by the researchers showed that reduced summer water availability and higher water temperatures associated with climate change could result in significant reductions in thermoelectric power supply in Europe and the United States.

This new study expands the research to a global level, using data from 24,515 hydropower and 1,427 thermoelectric power plants worldwide.

“This is the first study of its kind to examine the linkages between climate change, water resources, and electricity production on a global scale. We clearly show that power plants are not only causing climate change, but they might also be affected in major ways by climate,” says IIASA Energy Program Director Keywan Riahi, a study co-author.

“In particular the United States, southern South America, southern Africa, central and southern Europe, Southeast Asia and southern Australia are vulnerable regions, because declines in mean annual streamflow are projected combined with strong increases in water temperature under changing climate. This reduces the potential for both hydropower and thermoelectric power generation in these regions,” says Van Vliet.

The study also explored the potential impact of adaptation measures such as technological developments that increase power plant efficiency, switching from coal to more efficient gas-fired plants, or switching from freshwater cooling to air cooling or to seawater cooling systems for power plants on the coasts.

“We show that technological developments with increases in power plant efficiencies and changes in cooling system types would reduce the vulnerability to water constraints in most regions. Improved cross-sectoral water management during drought periods is of course also important,” says Van Vliet. “In order to sustain water and energy security in the next decades, the electricity focus will need to increase their focus on climate change adaptation in addition to mitigation.”

Source: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Source: Worldwide electricity production vulnerable to climate and water resource change | Science Codex