17/10/2015

Time for a change hits 71% – Trust in Trudeau to manage economy rises

The latest CTV News, Globe & Mail, Nanos survey suggests that the proportion of Canadians wanting change in the last weekend of the election has increased and also that the view that a Trudeau win would have a positive impact on the economy.  Also of note:

• Time for a Change – The proportion of Canadians who think it is time for a change on the closing weekend of the election rose from 67 to 71 percent.  The appetite for change is stronger among women (76 per cent) compared to men (67 per cent).

• Election Outcome Impact on Economy – Although a minority opinion among Canadians, the top choice for positive impact on the economy was a Liberal majority.  This view has doubled since July.  After citing a Liberal majority, 23 per cent of Canadians said a Conservative majority would be best for the economy. This view was unchanged since July.

• Election Outcome Most Satisfying – The election outcome most frequently cited as causing satisfaction for voters was a Liberal majority (28 per cent) followed by a Conservative majority (21 per cent) and a NDP majority (19 per cent).

• Trust to Manage the Economy – Thirty one per cent of Canadians trust Trudeau to manage the economy (up 13 points since July 2015), 29 per cent trust Harper to manage the economy (down two points since July), 22 per cent trust Mulcair to manage the economy (down nine points since July).

• Party Victory Impact on Economy – Longitudinal tracking suggests that a Liberal victory is most likely to been as having a positive impact on the economy (59 per cent positive/somewhat positive the last weekend of the economy compared to 42 per cent positive/somewhat positive in July). Canadians are more likely to think that a Conservative victory will have negative or somewhat negative impact on the economy than a positive or somewhat positive impact.

The team at Nanos in conjunction with Klipfolio have launched our new live political data portal where you run the numbers you want and can explore the trends and data you need.  This is part of our campaign, not only to provide the most reliable data to Canadians but to let them use it as they wish. We were the first to do nightly tracking and now we are the first research organization to post live public opinion data for Canadians.

We were the first to do nightly tracking and now we are the first research organization to post live public opinion data for Canadians. Here’s the link to check it out

The full survey results can be found by visiting our website.

Methodology
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between October 15th and 16th, 2015 as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents and administered a survey online. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. Canadians without internet access or telephone lines were excluded by default.

Individuals randomly called using random digit dialling with a maximum of five call backs. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The data presented in this research is part of a joint project by CTV, The Globe and Mail and Nanos Research.

Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding.