June 4, 2014
Key Findings
To follow are the key highlights of a Bloomberg-Nanos random telephone survey conducted in British Columbia on the Northern Gateway Pipeline.
This is the second part of a two part survey release.
- Approval of the pipeline by the Harper government is likely to have a collateral negative impact on support for the Conservatives in BC, especially among female voters.
- Forty-seven percent of respondents said they would be less likely to support local Conservative candidates in BC if the Harper government approved the pipeline, while only 11 percent said they would be more likely to support the local Conservative candidate if the project was approved by the Harper government.
- Among those respondents who refused to say who they voted for in the last federal election, there is a considerable negative impact on their likelihood to vote for their local Conservative candidate (40 percent less likely, 8 percent more likely to vote for the local Conservative voter).
Methodology
This random telephone survey of 500 British Columbians was conducted between May 27th and 31st, 2014 by Nanos Research. The dual frame sample included both land- and cell-lines across BC. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information and the sample was geographically stratified to be representative of BC. The margin of error for a random survey of 500 British Columbians is ±4.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The research was conducted by Nanos Research and commissioned by Bloomberg News. The questions were cooperatively designed by Nanos Research and Bloomberg News together.
The study was a stand-alone study conducted for Bloomberg by Nanos with no other questions other than those listed in the tabulations with the question order as presented in the tabulations. This second part of a two part series has all the questions in the second section of the questions in the order they are presented.
Part 2 included the last two content questions of the study. Non-content demographic questions were included at the end of the questionnaire to profile respondents and to weigh the data.
Individuals called using random digit dialling and were called up to five times by Nanos and 10 percent of the fieldwork was monitored/validated in accordance with industry standards.
Nik Nanos, FMRIA
Chairman
email: nnanos@nanosresearch.com
Andrew Phillip Chernoff 